Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement

A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the U.S. and Iran would reach a ceasefire on April 7, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for those users

April 8, 2026Updated: April 8, 2026

By KEN SWEET and CHRISTOPHER L. KELLER